Back to UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Prelims2 Welterweight

Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry ·Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Ramiz Brahimaj
73% 27%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
39
Age
Δ 5y
34
31-16
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L1
37
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Magny: 24 sig / 0 TD · Brahimaj: 7 sig / 1 TD
Neil Magny
Ramiz Brahimaj
32
Sig strikes landed
36
99
Sig strikes attempted
50
59
Total strikes landed
38
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
168s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
44%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Neil Magny

"The Haitian Sensation"
31-16
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 37 fights · 24-13
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
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W UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
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W UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Ramiz Brahimaj

13-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—