Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
King Green
Terrance McKinney
68%
32%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
40
Age
Δ 8y
32
36-17-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-8
W3
Current streak
W1
30
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Green: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
McKinney: 47 sig / 1 TD
King Green
Terrance McKinney
72
Sig strikes landed
48
110
Sig strikes attempted
98
63
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
King Green
36-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
30 fights · 16-12
Last 5
W
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kav…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
—
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
19-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. P…
—
L
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—