Back to UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Nikita Krylov
46% 54%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
36
Age
Δ 1y
34
27-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
32-11
L2
Current streak
W1
24
UFC fights in our DB
21

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Robert Whittaker
Nikita Krylov
58
Sig strikes landed
53
148
Sig strikes attempted
101
83
Total strikes landed
60
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
111s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Robert Whittaker

"The Reaper"
27-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 24 fights · 17-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
Blue corner
W1

Nikita Krylov

"The Miner"
32-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 21 fights · 12-9
Last 5
W UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
—
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
W UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—