Back to UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Cody Garbrandt
Adrian Yanez
42% 58%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
16-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-6-2
W1
Current streak
D1
17
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Cody Garbrandt
Adrian Yanez
38
Sig strikes landed
55
94
Sig strikes attempted
125
44
Total strikes landed
56
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
36s
Control time
33s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Cody Garbrandt

"No Love"
16-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 17 fights · 10-7
Last 5
W UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
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L UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
D1

Adrian Yanez

17-6-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
D UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. P…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—