Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Yin Shuai
Namsrai Batbayar
54%
46%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
18-8
Career record
Δ 22 pp
11-1
L1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Shuai: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Batbayar: 21 sig / 1 TD
Yin Shuai
Namsrai Batbayar
39
Sig strikes landed
42
89
Sig strikes attempted
90
50
Total strikes landed
55
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
125s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yin Shuai
"Black Panther"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
Road to UFC 4.5 + 4.6
—
W
Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2
—
L
Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4
—
Blue corner
W2
Namsrai Batbayar
"Steppe Warrior"
11-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Road to UFC 4.5 + 4.6
—
W
Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2
—