Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Shi Ming
Puja Tomar
78%
22%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 1"
59"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ming: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Tomar: 9 sig / 0 TD
Shi Ming
Puja Tomar
53
Sig strikes landed
34
113
Sig strikes attempted
86
81
Total strikes landed
62
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
216s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Shi Ming
19-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Road to UFC 3.5 + 3.6
—
W
Road to UFC 3.1 + 3.2
—
Blue corner
Puja Tomar
"Cyclone"
0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
59"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33