Prelims1
Featherweight
Jordan Leavitt vs Joanderson Brito
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jordan Leavitt
Joanderson Brito
43%
57%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
14-3
Career record
Δ 6 pp
19-5-1
W2
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Leavitt: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Brito: 5 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Leavitt
Joanderson Brito
15
Sig strikes landed
16
29
Sig strikes attempted
26
35
Total strikes landed
37
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.8
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
151s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
14-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
Blue corner
W1
Joanderson Brito
"Tubarao"
19-5-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—