Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brendan Allen
Edmen Shahbazyan
77%
23%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
27-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-5
W2
Current streak
W3
18
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Allen: 89 sig / 1 TD ·
Shahbazyan: 90 sig / 0 TD
Brendan Allen
Edmen Shahbazyan
56
Sig strikes landed
44
87
Sig strikes attempted
87
65
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
165s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Brendan Allen
"All In"
27-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
18 fights · 14-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
Blue corner
W3
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
17-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—