Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ding Meng
Jose Souza
79%
21%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 6"
79"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Meng: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Souza: 72 sig / 0 TD
Ding Meng
Jose Souza
36
Sig strikes landed
36
71
Sig strikes attempted
81
53
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ding Meng
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Jose Souza
"Canela"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24