Prelims1
Middleweight
YiSak Lee vs Luis Felipe Dias
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
·Galaxy Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
YiSak Lee
Luis Felipe Dias
70%
30%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
26
Age
Δ 5y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lee: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Dias: 21 sig / 0 TD
YiSak Lee
Luis Felipe Dias
44
Sig strikes landed
51
105
Sig strikes attempted
111
54
Total strikes landed
69
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
92s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
YiSak Lee
"The Tank"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Luis Felipe Dias
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Age
31