Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Aoriqileng
Cody Haddon
55%
45%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
27-13
Career record
Δ 23 pp
10-1
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Aoriqileng: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Haddon: 57 sig / 2 TD
Aoriqileng
Cody Haddon
70
Sig strikes landed
61
160
Sig strikes attempted
105
85
Total strikes landed
72
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Aoriqileng
"The Mongolian Murderer"
27-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
L
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
Blue corner
W1
Cody Haddon
10-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—