Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alex Perez
Sumudaerji
61%
39%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
27-10
Career record
Δ 1 pp
20-7
W1
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 2
Perez: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Sumudaerji: 26 sig / 1 TD
Alex Perez
Sumudaerji
38
Sig strikes landed
51
79
Sig strikes attempted
93
52
Total strikes landed
67
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
163s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alex Perez
27-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W3
Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
20-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—