Main
Heavyweight
Sergei Pavlovich vs Tallison Teixeira
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
·Galaxy Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sergei Pavlovich
Tallison Teixeira
73%
27%
Why
84"
Reach
Δ 1"
83"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
22-3
Career record
Δ 5 pp
10-2
W2
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pavlovich: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Teixeira: 0 sig / 0 TD
Sergei Pavlovich
Tallison Teixeira
20
Sig strikes landed
20
25
Sig strikes attempted
36
43
Total strikes landed
28
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
123s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Sergei Pavlovich
22-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
84"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Tallison Teixeira
"Xicao"
10-2
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—