Main
Light Heavyweight
Zhang Mingyang vs Alonzo Menifield
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
·Galaxy Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zhang Mingyang
Alonzo Menifield
73%
27%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
28
Age
Δ 11y
39
19-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
18-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Mingyang: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Menifield: 28 sig / 0 TD
Zhang Mingyang
Alonzo Menifield
36
Sig strikes landed
25
68
Sig strikes attempted
48
46
Total strikes landed
36
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
71s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Zhang Mingyang
"Mountain Tiger"
19-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
Blue corner
L1
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
18-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
17 fights · 10-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—