Main
Welterweight
Nikolay Veretennikov vs Khaos Williams
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nikolay Veretennikov
Khaos Williams
34%
66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
15-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
16-6
W1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Veretennikov: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Williams: 21 sig / 0 TD
Nikolay Veretennikov
Khaos Williams
37
Sig strikes landed
51
82
Sig strikes attempted
107
43
Total strikes landed
62
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
64s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nikolay Veretennikov
"Gladiator"
15-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. O…
—
L
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
Blue corner
L2
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—