Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Timmy Cuamba
Benardo Sopaj
47%
53%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
27
Age
Δ 2y
26
11-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-3
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Cuamba: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Sopaj: 37 sig / 1 TD
Timmy Cuamba
Benardo Sopaj
42
Sig strikes landed
52
91
Sig strikes attempted
85
60
Total strikes landed
70
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.8
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
131s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
11-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Benardo Sopaj
"Lion King"
14-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—