Prelims2
Featherweight
Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pat Sabatini
William Gomis
60%
40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
36
Age
Δ 7y
29
23-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-4
W3
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sabatini: 25 sig / 3 TD ·
Gomis: 23 sig / 0 TD
Pat Sabatini
William Gomis
25
Sig strikes landed
23
42
Sig strikes attempted
47
54
Total strikes landed
47
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.3
7.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
329s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Pat Sabatini
23-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
Blue corner
W1
William Gomis
"Jaguar"
16-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—