Prelims2
Middleweight
Roman Kopylov vs Marco Tulio
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Roman Kopylov
Marco Tulio
46%
54%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
15-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
14-4
L2
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kopylov: 61 sig / 1 TD ·
Tulio: 62 sig / 0 TD
Roman Kopylov
Marco Tulio
62
Sig strikes landed
63
124
Sig strikes attempted
126
69
Total strikes landed
79
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
81s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Roman Kopylov
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
Blue corner
L1
Marco Tulio
"Matuto"
14-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—
W
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—