Prelims2
Middleweight
Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Baisangur Susurkaev
Djorden Santos
74%
26%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
13-0
Career record
Δ 20 pp
12-3
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Susurkaev: 107 sig / 1 TD ·
Santos: 78 sig / 0 TD
Baisangur Susurkaev
Djorden Santos
86
Sig strikes landed
56
187
Sig strikes attempted
143
116
Total strikes landed
71
3.7
Takedowns landed
0.3
6.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
216s
Control time
18s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Baisangur Susurkaev
"The Real Hunter"
13-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
Blue corner
W1
Djorden Santos
"Shakur"
12-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—