🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joshua Van
Tatsuro Taira
59%
41%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
25
Age
Δ 2y
26
18-2
Career record
Δ 0 pp
19-2
W6
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Van: 131 sig / 1 TD ·
Taira: 55 sig / 8 TD
Joshua Van
Tatsuro Taira
66
Sig strikes landed
57
129
Sig strikes attempted
122
91
Total strikes landed
69
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.0
Takedowns attempted
12.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
45s
Control time
245s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
18-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
10 fights · 9-1
Last 5
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
Blue corner
W2
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
19-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—