Main
Heavyweight
Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes Acosta
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkov
Waldo Cortes Acosta
84%
16%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
38
Age
Δ 3y
35
41-11
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-3
W1
Current streak
W3
18
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Volkov: 88 sig / 0 TD ·
Cortes Acosta: 54 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Volkov
Waldo Cortes Acosta
69
Sig strikes landed
73
128
Sig strikes attempted
140
77
Total strikes landed
84
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
44s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
41-11
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
18 fights · 13-5
Last 5
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
W3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—