🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Khamzat Chimaev
Sean Strickland
44%
56%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
16-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
32-7
W8
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Chimaev: 98 sig / 9 TD ·
Strickland: 123 sig / 0 TD
Khamzat Chimaev
Sean Strickland
87
Sig strikes landed
83
169
Sig strikes attempted
223
103
Total strikes landed
81
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.2
8.2
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
248s
Control time
11s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
16-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 9-0
Last 5
W
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
W
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
W1
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
24 fights · 17-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—