Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bo Nickal
Kyle Daukaus
54%
46%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
9-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-4
W1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Bo Nickal
Kyle Daukaus
22
Sig strikes landed
24
45
Sig strikes attempted
47
31
Total strikes landed
37
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
122s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bo Nickal
9-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
Blue corner
W2
Kyle Daukaus
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—