Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alex Pereira
Ciryl Gane
54%
46%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
81"
39
Age
Δ 3y
36
14-3
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-2
W1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Alex Pereira
Ciryl Gane
67
Sig strikes landed
69
122
Sig strikes attempted
109
79
Total strikes landed
75
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
59s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alex Pereira
"Poatan"
14-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W2
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
13-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—