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Main Heavyweight

Shamil Gaziev vs Brando Pericic

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates ·RAC Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Shamil Gaziev
Brando Pericic
64% 36%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
80"
36
Age
Δ 5y
32
14-4
Career record
Δ 11 pp
8-1
L1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Gaziev: 41 sig / 1 TD · Pericic: 89 sig / 0 TD
Shamil Gaziev
Brando Pericic
18
Sig strikes landed
21
22
Sig strikes attempted
42
39
Total strikes landed
31
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
169s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
63%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Shamil Gaziev

14-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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W UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
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Blue corner
W2

Brando Pericic

"The Balkan Bear"
8-1
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Mur…
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W UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
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