Prelims1
Middleweight
Cam Rowston vs Robert Bryczek
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cam Rowston
Robert Bryczek
68%
32%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
31
Age
Δ 4y
36
16-3
Career record
Δ 11 pp
19-7
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rowston: 79 sig / 3 TD ·
Bryczek: 17 sig / 0 TD
Cam Rowston
Robert Bryczek
49
Sig strikes landed
45
117
Sig strikes attempted
110
61
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
85s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cam Rowston
16-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
—
Blue corner
W1
Robert Bryczek
19-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—