Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Junior Tafa vs Kevin Christian
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Junior Tafa
Kevin Christian
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
80"
30
Age
Δ 2y
31
7-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
9-5
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tafa: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Christian: 13 sig / 0 TD
Junior Tafa
Kevin Christian
21
Sig strikes landed
32
39
Sig strikes attempted
47
39
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
75s
Control time
300s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 2-5
Last 5
L
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
L
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
Blue corner
L1
Kevin Christian
9-5
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Ona…
—