Main
Lightweight
Beneil Dariush vs Quillan Salkilld
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Beneil Dariush
Quillan Salkilld
47%
53%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
37
Age
Δ 11y
26
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 23 pp
13-1
L1
Current streak
W4
25
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dariush: 3 sig / 2 TD ·
Salkilld: 12 sig / 0 TD
Beneil Dariush
Quillan Salkilld
23
Sig strikes landed
39
38
Sig strikes attempted
73
34
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
134s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Beneil Dariush
23-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
25 fights · 17-7
Last 5
L
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
Blue corner
W4
Quillan Salkilld
13-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
—
W
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—