Back to UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Prelims1 Welterweight

Max Griffin vs Victor Valenzuela

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Max Griffin
Victor Valenzuela
39% 61%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
40
Age
Δ 8y
32
L2
Current streak
—
18
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Griffin: 40 sig / 4 TD · Valenzuela: 53 sig / 1 TD
Max Griffin
Victor Valenzuela
57
Sig strikes landed
45
110
Sig strikes attempted
100
78
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
102s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Max Griffin

"Pain"
20-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 18 fights · 8-10
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
L UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
Blue corner

Victor Valenzuela

"Psicosis"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32