Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Mayra Bueno Silva vs Michelle Montague
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mayra Bueno Silva
Michelle Montague
31%
69%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
35
Age
Δ 2y
32
10-8-1
Career record
Δ 47 pp
9-0
L4
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bueno Silva: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Montague: 42 sig / 2 TD
Mayra Bueno Silva
Michelle Montague
27
Sig strikes landed
40
71
Sig strikes attempted
72
59
Total strikes landed
92
1.3
Takedowns landed
3.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
141s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
6%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
10-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
13 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
Blue corner
W1
Michelle Montague
"The Wild One"
9-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
—