Back to UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Prelims1 Middleweight

Rodolfo Vieira vs Eric McConico

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rodolfo Vieira
Eric McConico
57% 43%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
37
Age
Δ 1y
36
11-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
11-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vieira: 40 sig / 4 TD · McConico: 54 sig / 2 TD
Rodolfo Vieira
Eric McConico
37
Sig strikes landed
31
70
Sig strikes attempted
56
60
Total strikes landed
47
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
207s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rodolfo Vieira

11-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
Blue corner
L1

Eric McConico

11-5-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—