Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Montel Jackson
Raoni Barcelos
55%
45%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 8"
67"
34
Age
Δ 5y
39
15-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
23-5
L1
Current streak
W4
12
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jackson: 35 sig / 0 TD ·
Barcelos: 21 sig / 6 TD
Montel Jackson
Raoni Barcelos
42
Sig strikes landed
51
86
Sig strikes attempted
84
53
Total strikes landed
69
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.4
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.90
Knockdowns
0.20
131s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
15-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
Blue corner
W4
Raoni Barcelos
23-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—