Main
Bantamweight
Davey Grant vs Adrian Luna Martinetti
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Davey Grant
Adrian Luna Martinetti
31%
69%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
40
Age
Δ 10y
31
L1
Current streak
—
15
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Grant: 162 sig / 0 TD ·
Martinetti: 99 sig / 1 TD
Davey Grant
Adrian Luna Martinetti
61
Sig strikes landed
58
128
Sig strikes attempted
125
76
Total strikes landed
65
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Davey Grant
"Dangerous"
18-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
15 fights · 8-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
Adrian Luna Martinetti
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31