Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Curtis Blaydes
Josh Hokit
57%
43%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
20-6
Career record
Δ 23 pp
10-0
W1
Current streak
W2
20
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Blaydes: 174 sig / 2 TD ·
Hokit: 177 sig / 0 TD
Curtis Blaydes
Josh Hokit
23
Sig strikes landed
27
49
Sig strikes attempted
51
47
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
143s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
20-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
20 fights · 14-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
Blue corner
W2
Josh Hokit
10-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—