Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Kevin Holland
Randy Brown
66%
34%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
33
Age
Δ 2y
36
29-16
Career record
Δ 5 pp
20-9
L2
Current streak
L1
28
UFC fights in our DB
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holland: 56 sig / 0 TD ·
Brown: 46 sig / 0 TD
Kevin Holland
Randy Brown
61
Sig strikes landed
58
120
Sig strikes attempted
101
73
Total strikes landed
72
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
28 fights · 15-12
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
L
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
Blue corner
L1
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
21 fights · 14-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
L
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—