Back to UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Prelims1 Featherweight

Dennis Buzukja vs Marcio Barbosa

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott ·Canada Life Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dennis Buzukja
Marcio Barbosa
30% 70%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
28
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Buzukja: 5 sig / 0 TD · Barbosa: 4 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Buzukja
Marcio Barbosa
45
Sig strikes landed
44
112
Sig strikes attempted
93
56
Total strikes landed
63
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
63s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dennis Buzukja

"The Great"
12-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
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L UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
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L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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Blue corner

Marcio Barbosa

"Ticoto"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28