Back to UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Prelims1 Middleweight

Julien Leblanc vs Robert Valentin

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott ·Canada Life Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Julien Leblanc
Robert Valentin
53% 47%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Leblanc: 4 sig / 0 TD · Valentin: 7 sig / 1 TD
Julien Leblanc
Robert Valentin
29
Sig strikes landed
26
47
Sig strikes attempted
52
46
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
121s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Julien Leblanc

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
Blue corner
L3

Robert Valentin

"Robzilla"
12-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
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