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Main Bantamweight

Kyler Phillips vs Charles Jourdain

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott ·Canada Life Centre

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Kyler Phillips
Charles Jourdain
49% 51%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
31
Age
Δ 0y
30
12-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
19-8-1
L2
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
16

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Phillips: 36 sig / 7 TD · Jourdain: 58 sig / 1 TD
Kyler Phillips
Charles Jourdain
69
Sig strikes landed
78
151
Sig strikes attempted
159
79
Total strikes landed
95
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
100s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Kyler Phillips

"The Matrix"
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
L UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
W UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
Blue corner
W2

Charles Jourdain

"Air"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 16 fights · 8-7
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
L UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
L UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
W UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…