Main
Women's Flyweight
Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
·Canada Life Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Karine Silva
52%
48%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
37
Age
Δ 5y
32
15-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-8
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jasudavicius: 18 sig / 3 TD ·
Silva: 15 sig / 0 TD
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Karine Silva
42
Sig strikes landed
34
98
Sig strikes attempted
79
68
Total strikes landed
63
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
230s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jasmine Jasudavicius
15-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
W
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Karine Silva
"Killer"
19-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
L
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—