Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Azamat Bekoev
Tresean Gore
82%
18%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
20-6
Career record
Δ 19 pp
7-5
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Bekoev: 70 sig / 2 TD ·
Gore: 78 sig / 2 TD
Azamat Bekoev
Tresean Gore
35
Sig strikes landed
18
70
Sig strikes attempted
45
55
Total strikes landed
22
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
187s
Control time
53s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Azamat Bekoev
"Iron"
20-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
Blue corner
L2
Tresean Gore
"Mr. Vicious"
7-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—