Back to UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Alice Pereira vs Hailey Cowan

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alice Pereira
Hailey Cowan
80% 20%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
20
Age
Δ 14y
34
7-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
7-6
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pereira: 32 sig / 0 TD · Cowan: 31 sig / 2 TD
Alice Pereira
Hailey Cowan
47
Sig strikes landed
58
113
Sig strikes attempted
90
70
Total strikes landed
91
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.40
Knockdowns
-0.10
131s
Control time
277s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
40%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alice Pereira

"Golden Girl"
7-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
20
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
L2

Hailey Cowan

"All Hail"
7-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—