Main
Light Heavyweight
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Brendson Ribeiro
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Brendson Ribeiro
73%
27%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 3"
81"
25
Age
Δ 4y
30
10-0
Career record
Δ 39 pp
17-11
W1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Yakhyaev: 7 sig / 2 TD ·
Ribeiro: 8 sig / 0 TD
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Brendson Ribeiro
20
Sig strikes landed
16
43
Sig strikes attempted
35
51
Total strikes landed
18
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
32s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
"The Hunter"
10-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
Blue corner
L2
Brendson Ribeiro
"The Gorilla"
17-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—