Main
Women's Strawweight
Virna Jandiroba vs Tabatha Ricci
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Virna Jandiroba
Tabatha Ricci
74%
26%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
61"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
23-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jandiroba: 26 sig / 6 TD ·
Ricci: 37 sig / 1 TD
Virna Jandiroba
Tabatha Ricci
47
Sig strikes landed
43
118
Sig strikes attempted
117
91
Total strikes landed
70
3.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
6.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
263s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
23-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
W1
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
13-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—