Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jose Delano
Robert Ruchala
67%
33%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Delano: 107 sig / 0 TD ·
Ruchala: 67 sig / 0 TD
Jose Delano
Robert Ruchala
43
Sig strikes landed
35
83
Sig strikes attempted
88
65
Total strikes landed
61
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
137s
Control time
215s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jose Delano
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1
Robert Ruchala
"Faker"
11-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
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