Prelims1
Heavyweight
Marcin Tybura vs Tyrell Fortune
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marcin Tybura
Tyrell Fortune
53%
47%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
40
Age
Δ 5y
36
L1
Current streak
—
23
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tybura: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Fortune: 30 sig / 3 TD
Marcin Tybura
Tyrell Fortune
36
Sig strikes landed
47
66
Sig strikes attempted
71
57
Total strikes landed
58
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
176s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
23 fights · 14-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
Blue corner
Tyrell Fortune
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36