Prelims1
Lightweight
Ignacio Bahamondes vs Tofiq Musayev
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ignacio Bahamondes
Tofiq Musayev
62%
38%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
69"
29
Age
Δ 8y
36
17-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
23-7
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bahamondes: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Musayev: 34 sig / 3 TD
Ignacio Bahamondes
Tofiq Musayev
54
Sig strikes landed
42
114
Sig strikes attempted
95
81
Total strikes landed
59
0.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.4
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
71s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
17-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Tofiq Musayev
23-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—