Main
Middleweight
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Yousri Belgaroui
65%
35%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
28
Age
Δ 5y
34
10-1-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
11-3
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Abdul-Malik: 16 sig / 3 TD ·
Belgaroui: 94 sig / 0 TD
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Yousri Belgaroui
38
Sig strikes landed
24
80
Sig strikes attempted
46
52
Total strikes landed
38
3.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
153s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mansur Abdul-Malik
10-1-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-0
Last 4
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
Blue corner
W1
Yousri Belgaroui
11-3
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—