Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Navajo Stirling vs Bruno Lopes
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Navajo Stirling
Bruno Lopes
66%
34%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
28
Age
Δ 4y
33
10-0
Career record
Δ 22 pp
14-4
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Stirling: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Lopes: 28 sig / 0 TD
Navajo Stirling
Bruno Lopes
44
Sig strikes landed
37
68
Sig strikes attempted
80
65
Total strikes landed
62
2.3
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
7.7
0.30
Knockdowns
-0.10
121s
Control time
202s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Navajo Stirling
10-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
—
W
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Bruno Lopes
"The Brazilian Cowboy"
14-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—