Main
Women's Flyweight
Alexa Grasso vs Maycee Barber
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alexa Grasso
Maycee Barber
46%
54%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
17-6-1
Career record
Δ 13 pp
16-3
L2
Current streak
W7
14
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Grasso: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Barber: 5 sig / 0 TD
Alexa Grasso
Maycee Barber
67
Sig strikes landed
73
154
Sig strikes attempted
149
90
Total strikes landed
101
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
108s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alexa Grasso
17-6-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
14 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
L
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
Blue corner
W7
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—