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Prelims1 Lightweight

Shem Rock vs Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Shem Rock
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
46% 54%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
32
Age
Δ 2y
31
12-4-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rock: 47 sig / 1 TD · Al-Selwady: 81 sig / 0 TD
Shem Rock
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
37
Sig strikes landed
39
85
Sig strikes attempted
72
52
Total strikes landed
48
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Shem Rock

12-4-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

"Pride of Palestine"
16-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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